Adam Mill, Why Doesn’t It Feel Like Biden is Winning?

President Trump has made fools out of thousands of prophets predicting his doom.

On Tuesday November 8, 2016 at 7:00 pm, I entered an Uber to travel to a Chicago-area stand-up comedy club in search of escape from the inevitable. The New York Times set Clinton’s percentage chance at victory in the high-90s. The driver had his radio tuned to a panel of NPR election experts assembled to announce the results as they came in. Most of the panel members chirped enthusiastically about Clinton’s inevitable victory. But one Clinton supporter spoke in hushed tones regarding the results from a particular county in Florida. I could hear it in his voice. My news sources still showed a likely Clinton victory. But this expert’s voice told the truth: The polls were wrong.

As we approach the next election, the polls again show an insurmountably persistent Trump deficit in the popular vote and even in key battleground states. Poll aggregator Nate Silver estimates Trump’s approval to be below Obama, Clinton, and Reagan at similar points in their presidencies. Silver fixes the chance of a Biden victory at 81 percent as of his writing on October 5th. The betting markets show a recent collapse in confidence that Trump will be reelected.

So why doesn’t it feel like Biden is winning?

If we had no polls, betting markets, or professional pontificators, what outcome would we predict from the things that we can observe with our own eyes and ears? Let’s run through a few non-scientific intangibles that don’t seem to line-up with the polling.

The media is actively sheltering Biden. If a Biden victory were indeed inevitable, would we see such vigorous coordination by the media to shelter and prop up Biden? As I recently noted, even a casual observer could see the media seemed to be tipping-off Biden on the already-softball questions it intended to ask. It is also clear that the moderator at the first debate frequently interfered to protect Biden from questions about his son’s corruption, potential Biden Supreme Court nominees, Biden’s position on phasing out private insurance, Biden’s specific criticism of Trump’s COVID-19 policies, and the reasons for Biden’s law enforcement support deficit.

In addition, it’s become patently obvious that the Biden campaign and the media intended a strategy of releasing a coordinated scandal hit on Trump every two to three days until election day. For example, the Bob Woodward piece, the Atlantic hit piece, the New York Times hit piece on Trump’s taxes, and the new coordinated mischaracterization of Trump’s “failure” to condemn white supremacists, since a mere 99 times of denouncing them simply doesn’t suffice and he is required to do it for the 100th time as called upon by Chris Wallace.

Voters don’t vote to ban their new guns. According to the Left-leaning Brooking’s institute, “In just the first six months of 2020, approximately 19 million firearms have been sold, representing more than one firearm for every 20 Americans.” But with roughly 150 million registered to vote, that’s a huge block of potential voters. Brookings made this observation before the awful rioting in Kenosha, Wisconsin and Louisville, Kentucky. There are no reliable statistics for the proportion of those weapons that might be subject to a future Biden-sponsored gun-ban. But acute shortages of ammunition for AR-15s point to a large group of voters who might feel their guns will be targeted by a Biden Administration. It seems counter-intuitive that gun owners would vote for a candidate promising to ban those same weapons.

What about Biden’s incompetent messaging? Biden and his campaign just don’t act like they think they’re winning. First his imitative theme, “Build Back Better,” despite the awkward alliteration, is essentially identical to “Make America Great Again.” He’s played a prevent-defense style campaign by avoiding issues and public appearances. Biden prefers to attack Trump rather than articulating policy intentions.

After months of campaigning by Zoom, he suddenly emerged to conduct a smattering of lightly-attended functions. Yet, while polls tell us that Biden has never stopped beating Trump, the campaign abruptly lurched from raising money to bail out rioters to an unconvincing “law and order” stance. Then the Biden campaign made another radical lurch from encouraging their voters to mail in ballots to voting in person. Most recently, the Biden campaign promised to pull negative ads attacking the COVID-19-positive president but failed to do so. This tells me that the Biden campaign isn’t following advice from good political consultants and could easily be wrong-footed again.

The campaign is full of toxic political correctness. In the face of the George Floyd death, the Left seemed to have stormed all of America all at once with new speech rules. Simply failing to enthusiastically cheer the violent neo-Marxist/Maoist groups burning and looting our cities will get you fired by our Chinese-canoodling corporate overlords. Many Trump votes were cast as a protest to the suffocating political-correctness atmosphere of 2016. Since that atmosphere has become even more suffocating, those protest votes may grow. Even as the media pushes the “Trump is a white supremacist” narrative, minorities have begun to peel away from the Democrats in increasing numbers.

History is not on Biden’s side. It’s not a small thing that historical precedent strongly suggests Trump will be re-elected. Think of the last three times a challenger upset an incumbent: Bill Clinton over George W. Bush, Reagan over Carter, and Carter over Ford. Does Joe Biden have the umph of a Clinton or a Reagan? Remember, a younger, better-looking Biden lost to Michael Dukakis, who lost to George H.W. Bush. Taking that one step further, Bush lost to a charismatic Clinton. But all of that Arkansas charm wasn’t enough to prevent his wife from losing to Trump.

The intensity of Trump’s campaign is unstoppable. To quote one phrase making the rounds, Trump supporters will fight murder hornets, COVID-19, and rioters to vote in person. Biden supporters hate Trump. But Biden himself does not inspire hope or confidence the way an Obama or Bill Clinton did. Trump frequently boasts of the enthusiasm of his followers, signs of which one can easily see in rally attendance and the ubiquity of MAGA hats and yard signs. The MAGA rally even followed the president to Walter Reed when he could no longer come to the rallies.

There is a great upheaval of our population underway. Many have commented on the mass exodus happening across the country as the middle class flees the urban areas. Some of this is brought on by the telework revolution that makes living near the office an expensive luxury. But a significant number of Americans are fleeing high crime, chaos, and taxes that plague the Democrat-run cities. Some will take their Democrat-voting habits with them, but many more will either fail to vote during the transition or will vote against the party that drove them from their city homes.

President Trump has made fools out of thousands of prophets predicting his doom. While the public consumes a steady diet of polls commissioned by the same news organizations that so obviously want to wish a Trump defeat into reality, we know that the campaigns conduct their own secret polling. Thus, we should take note when the actions of the campaigns don’t match the numbers in the polls.

Adam Mill is a pen name. He works in Kansas City, Missouri as an attorney specializing in labor and employment and public administration law. He graduated from the University of Kansas and has been admitted to practice in Kansas and Missouri. Mill has contributed to The Federalist, American Greatness, and The Daily Caller.

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23 thoughts on “Adam Mill, Why Doesn’t It Feel Like Biden is Winning?”

  1. Pingback: URL
    1. Google today claims that you can change your browser search engine at anytime. The problem with that is that the other search sites are mere clones of Google and use the same search data.

      1. In the case of DuckDuckGo, it is not a clone, they use goggle as an enhancement, but the results are pretty different. Startpage is also better if you can get to it. Don, there are alternatives. I think it’s important not to use goggle as your main search engine. Just like avoiding most social media…every little bit helps. One way to break a monopoly is simply by not using it.

  2. CHECKMATE! Bannon is about to release the rest…..I do not see how Biden’s candidacy can survive what’s coming…This is beyond blockbuster. this is 150 kiloton nuclear….

    Mr. Bannon: Joe Biden is a liar, a fraud, and compromised by Chinese cash. In short, he is a national security crisis. The hard drive combines emails and text messages that show a massive involvement with companies controlled by the Chinese Communist Party. Also, there are 25,000 images that show a drug-addled, depraved lifestyle — one that decent hardworking Americans will not want near the White House.
    Revolver: The FBI has been holding onto the hard drive for almost a year? Any sense of why? Was there any indication that they were seriously interested in a criminal case, assuming that there is, in fact, illegal material on there? If not, why would the FBI simply hold onto information like that?

    Mr. Bannon: The President must confront the director of the FBI on why the information housed on this hard drive was not moved on immediately. If the content of the hard drive had been released when received in November 2019, there would have been no impeachment of Trump, and Bernie Sanders would be the Democratic Party nominee. This confrontation should take place this weekend in the Oval Office. If Wray doesn’t have a bulletproof reason he should be fired in the room.

    Revolver: What are your best estimates on how many foreign entities may have obtained possession of the hard drive? Chinese intel?

    Mr. Bannon: It’s the actions represented on the hard drive that the American people must understand our enemies know about. The cash and equity given for access to Biden, the favors done for that cash, the drugs, the depravity. The CCP, Russian Intel, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Intel Services — they know the Bidens are for sale.

    Revolver: Is there any reason to expect that the contents of the hard drive will be revealed before the election? If yes, will people actually care enough for it to substantially affect the outcome?

    Mr. Bannon: The Bidens are about to be hit with multiple stories from multiple media sources based off evidence beyond the hard drive. Fox and Peter Schweitzer have already started but bigger more mainstream companies are going to weigh in. We already have set in motion the various apparatuses that will release everything.

  3. Rudy Giuliani on 77 WABC…Talking about the Hunter Biden corruption….JUST UNBELIEVABLE….

    Just a taste of of the transcript….(thanks to J. Stone)

    This is a document that you will not see anywhere, at this point. If you want to view it with me, as I’m discussing it with you, go to, where it’s posted. And the reason I’m doing it this way is because there will be every effort to censor, block and stop you from hearing this information from the social media, from the Democrats and tragically, from most of your networks, that have for over two years been covering up crimes at the highest levels of several governments.

    The one I’m going to talk about right now is at the highest levels of the United States and Ukrainian governments but in future days, you will see texts, emails and photos that demonstrate crimes committed by the Biden crime family in China – probably most of all – Russia and several other countries.

    But in seeing these, you’re going to wonder how was the money distributed? What happened to all these millions and millions and millions of dollars, that went from the crookedest man in Ukraine to Hunter Biden, who at the time was not just a recovering crack addict but a crack addict – an actual crack addict.

    Or the vast amount of money that went from China to Hunter Biden, when he was also suffering from being – I don’t know how to describe it, it’s unfortunate that he has this – thing – but it’s also unfortunate that his father put him in the positions he put him in – and China of course has all of the photos that we have, which means he is a really massive National Security threat to the United States, since his father lies about all of this, it’s an easy area of extortion and should have been discovered…before the Trump administration by the Obama-Biden administration.

    In fact, when you see these texts and when you see these photos, you’re going to say to yourself, “Do we have a National Security service?” and if they don’t have them, why don’t they have them? Because we know that China and Russia has them. Or they really wouldn’t be much of a worthwhile adversary, would they?
    When you see these, what you’re going to see, in summary – and this is just a summary – are the following: Every time Joe Biden was named Point Man by Barack Obama, Joe Biden negotiated for the United States. Each time he negotiated he failed. Each time he negotiated the Biden crime family got millions of dollars from that country.

    In Iraq, which was the first one, his brother James who, for many many years had been running an illegal lobbying operation, in which money was going to James and James was using it, in part for James and in part, for Joe.

    James got into the Big Time. James went ahead and got into a housing contract in Iraq when Joe was the Point Man in Iraq, approximately one third of a $1.5 billion contract. Like Hunter, James had no experience, at all in housing. He just got into a $1.5 billion contract in Ukraine.

    As you know, Hunter Biden was hired by the crookedest man in Ukraine for approximately, anywhere from $8-14 million dollars, some of it laundered; documents that show that.

    The question is, why did Joe Biden lie about it? The New York Post, in his front page demonstrates with a text from Hunter Biden, that Joe Biden was fully aware of Burisma and has been lying about that for 7 years. That’s a lot of lying. That only happens when you commit a crime – and Joe Biden certainly committed a crime, because some of that money from Ukraine – illegal money for bribes – went to Joe Biden.

    And finally, for now, China. China has so many different transactions, it’s going to take a couple of days, if not a week for us to sort all through them. But we have them. And basically, this is money that goes to Hunter Biden, James Biden, Sarah Biden and the Biden family, otherwise known as the “Biden Crime Family”.

    Me…..If this does not put the icing on the cake, nothing does….THE PROBLEM BEING, IF BIDEN IS REMOVED, HARRIS MOVES UP-FRONT…..FATHER IN HEAVEN PLEASE HELP US ALL!

  4. This election is being stolen as we type. We have SWORN testimonies from Poll Watchers and pictures. These are two examples from Houston. Can you imagine what’s happening nation wide?
    Here’s a few words followed by the article. Mr. President, Mr. Barr…someone must jump on this NOW.

    My name is Raymond T. Stewart. I am above the age of eighteen years and am fully competent to make this affidavit. The facts stated in this affidavit are within my personal knowledge and are true and correct.
    “I am a 30+ year veteran Texas Peace Officer. I am a volunteer poll watcher for Candidate Andre Hines. On 10/13/2020, at 8:40am, I arrived at polling location Northeast Multi-Services Center, PRCT ID SRD141C, 9720 Spaulding Street, Houston, Texas 77016.”
    outside and get a ticket and return outside. But sometimes a staff member would search through the stack of driver’s license on the table, then scan it, receive a ticket and also go outside to the drive-through booth. As a Police Officer, I quickly became suspicious that they were committing a crime by having the unattended D.L.’s just sitting on the table and that possible voting crimes were being committed using these forms of ID. Also during this time-frame an employee of the Harris County Attorney’s Office came by and he conversed with April but nothing changed and he departed. Since I was there as a poll watcher and not there as a Police Officer, I just continued to observe and considered how to deal with this situation. About that time a Precinct 1 Constable (Deputy W. Schultz) arrived at the polling location and he happened to be someone I knew professionally. I spoke with the Deputy outside and informed him of what
    I had observed. He was amazed and asked for evidence which I provided to him.”


  5. HERE IT IS….The second blockbuster Dem killer in the same number of days…best thing for the Dems to do is just surrender and throw themselves on the mercy of WE the People…..but of course, personally, I would show NO MERCY>>>TO THE GALLOWS NOW!

    Jim Stone….

    This is good:
    Hunter Biden’s CURRENT (as of 2019) laptop was abandoned at a repair shop and after the repair shop contacted him numerous times, they took it, and it is GOOD.
    The New York Times also got ahold of it, and they at least partially reported the truth.
    Here is a quick summary:
    Someone took Hunter Biden’s laptop to a repair shop in 2019 and then abandoned it. If after a certain length of time you don’t go back for your stuff without paying, it is gone. That’s well known. So the repair shop took posession of the computer and had a look at what was on it. They discovered it belonged to Hunter Biden and it was LOADED with tons of incriminating crap against Joe.

    The repair shop called the FBI and handed the laptop over, but not being stupid about it, made backups of the hard drive because you know – anyone who runs a real business probably knows the FBI is corrupt and would never do anything about it. They did nothing about it. After waiting for a little time, the repair shop then turned over a copy of that hard drive (probably one of 50 if they can think and had the means, and both are probably true) – turned it over to mayor Guiuliani’s lawyer. Then Steve bannon found out about it and delivered a copy to the New York Post.

    Most likely the New York post is whitewashing this but they are at least saying enough to destroy Joe, and even if they do whitewash this they are not the only ones with the info (so they have to say at least something), REAL PEOPLE HAVE IT, OUTSIDE THE CIRCLE OF CENSORSHIP, GAME OVER.

    So now we have the seal team six story exploding and THIS, at the same time. Hopefully the laptop is a double hit, and not just a way to make people forget about that CIA whistleblower, they might sacrifice Joe and the election to save the rest of the deep state. Wait and see.

    1. Amazing stuff, Will. A trove of evidence that Hillary ordered a hellfire missile to kill Seal Team 6 who had carried out the phony ‘Kill Bin Laden’ trophy killing for Obama’s campaign, and then refused military aid to American citizens in Benghazi.

      Will it make a difference? It comes not from journalists but from the families of the dead and military personnel who were there. Grass roots, in other words. The same kind of coalition came together to expose the Israeli attack on the Liberty, but that story is still not widely known because it wasn’t taken up by the right media.

      This is as despicable as any of the ceaseless state crimes we have witnessed. The evidence has been widely released to the media. It’s time for them to step up.

  6. Pay no heed to what the poles say about Biden. it’s over for him and the entire Democratic party IF the following is true. And since Trump is re-tweeting it, it may well be the BALE of straw that broke the already broken Dems into Humpty Dumpty pieces. THIS IS DEVASTATING…AND I MEAN DEVASTATING…..

    Now if nothing happens, we really are screwed. This is the biggest story of the decade:

    Jim Stone:

    If nothing happens as a result of this, it will be a catastrophe. If something happens as a result of this, the guilty parties will create a catastrophe. There’s the right way out of this (a catastrophe they cause to cover this up) and a wrong way out – (nothing happens).
    This one is SO BAD I ate comfort food before posting, and then went back for more comfort food. I then listened to Styx Boat on the river about five times while eating the second round of comfort food and am listening to it now as I post this. This drop is THAT BAD, there’s no telling what will happen now.

    Here is the basic story in a paragraph: Iran “gave shelter to Osama Bin Laden” who may have been fictional at the time. While Bin Laden was “in Iran”, Obama sent seal team six in to nail him in Afghanistan. Only, he was not there, and to cover it up Obama, Biden, Brennan, Hillary, the entire apparatus approved the murder of every member of seal team six via a missile shoot down of their aircraft to cover it up.

    They are already expunging the videos for this but I have them saved. This one is still alive.

    An agent for the CIA who was involved with it all did not agree, and managed to bag TERABYTES (and I am talking TERABYTES of audio and video of the entire event,) including all the documents and he held onto them until this critical time when America was about to be smashed via a rigged election. This CIA agent then was the final speaker at a very high profile political conference with lots of important people there and he actually played the most damning video evidence at this conference. It cannot be covered up.

    So now supposedly someone in Congress has ALL OF IT and will present it to Trump tomorrow. At least supposedly show it.

    It is confirmed that the whistleblower is legit, the documents are legit, the video is legit, the audio is legit, and there’s even more – proof that Hillary and the rest of them ordered the murders of everyone at Benghazi.

    But wait, THERE IS MORE:
    So Iran caught news of them “getting Bin Laden” when they knew he was not there, and blackmailed the Obama administration to keep it all secret, and that’s the reason for the $150 billion payout Obama did for Iran.

    The big question now is will anything happen? There’s little doubt that ALL OF THEM know they are busted. And a lot of people (including me) are worried about what they will do to distract the public from this massive “containment breach”, perhaps I’ll wake up tomorrow and everyone at the conference will have been murdered with zero reports, all the video proof it happened expunged from the web – but if not, there’s no telling what such evil cretins will do to save their behinds. Perhaps stuxnet a nuclear facility . . . . some are speculating the samson option . . . .

    Despite this being confirmed legit and Trump re-tweeting it, there’s not a peep about this on Infowars, instead Alex posted that Trump did a gay dance at the last rally, and wanted to kiss all the homosexuals. Only, that’s not what happened, Alex went the way of CNN, you know, that six pointed logo of his that now shows up in his tab really does mean something.


  7. RS, the reality is that Trump didn’t have the power to “lock up” Hillary back in 2017–the Senate wasn’t about to confirm true anti-Deep Staters–but he fulfilled many striking promises (e.g., wall, , educed human trafficking, better NAFTA, toughening on China trade, pullout from Afghanistan and other places, renegotiation on Iran, etc.). He was also the only major national politician who protested the lockdowns and who stood up to the mobs. Either this election is all fake drama or the Dems really do fear he will bust up their Deep State with a long list of indictments and prosecutions. But, the Dems will be nice to him should he lose (not possible in a true vote). After all, as he has said, he is not the one they’re after; they are really after us and he is merely the one standing in the way.

  8. Since nobody has left a post here, I’ll leave one.

    And it’s about the difference between Trump and the opposition democrats.

    When Trump won the presidency after promising to lock up Hillary Clinton, he probably could have done it because he had huge momentum and political capital. But he immediately broke that promise (and a lot of others).

    Conversely, if Joe Biden wins in November, you can bet your ass that the democrats will do everything in their power to lock Trump up. And they just might succeed.

    That’s the difference as I see it.


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