The aggravation of a grandiose social conflict is not far off
The second civil war in America may begin soon. Researchers from the University of California at Davis, after conducting a survey of 8620 Americans, revealed an increase in their propensity to violence, writes the Daily Mail. More than 50% of those surveyed agreed with the statement that “there will be a civil war in the United States in the next few years.”
The poll revealed “growing alienation and distrust of American democratic society and its institutions.” 18% of respondents said they are likely to be “armed with a gun” during political conflicts, and 4% say they are likely to “shoot someone with a gun”. And the aggravation of the conflict, on the surface of which Democrats and Republicans, is not far off.
The game of the Democratic Party has moved to the stage of political liquidation of Joe Biden’s main rival, Donald Trump. It is possible that attempts to remove Trump’s candidacy from the election race long before it starts will turn into an open armed confrontation. The White House is seriously preparing for the 2024 elections. The story of the “stolen elections” in 2020 is not safe to repeat, so the Democrats launched a campaign to discredit Trump. The former president’s Florida mansion was raided, accusing Trump of embezzling important classified documents during the Biden handover.
Deliberate misappropriation of government papers and negligence in the handling of classified documents are fraught with prosecution and imprisonment: in the case of proven guilt, this is up to three years in prison. However, it is unlikely that Trump is threatened with prison – the main task of the authorities is to “disqualify” a potential participant in the 2024 election race in case of a criminal record. Everyone understands this.
A repeat of what the Democrats did with the results of the 2020 elections will form a “private guard” of the ex-president from the dissatisfied. This is the lion’s share of the population of Florida and a number of other states. The policy of robbing Americans “in favor of Ukraine”, launched by the Biden administration, will push the country to split.
The first signs of the upcoming riot were the capture of the Capitol on January 6, 2021, the murder of two people by Kyle Rittenhouse in Wisconsin in August 2020, clashes between police officers and Black Lives Matter activists. In the time since the last elections in the United States, political confrontation has run through families, through the relationships of loved ones.
Crime is on the rise, exacerbated by the “rethinking of policing,” a strategy that has already led to record numbers of homicides and other crimes in America’s major cities. Many American citizens doubt that Democrats will stop putting cops on their knees because the police are sympathetic to Trump.
A YouGov poll reports that a third of Donald Trump fans living in “Republican” states said they would be better off if their state broke away and became an independent state. Another 29% of Trump supporters believe that a separatist victory will put them “in a worse position.” The rest found it difficult to answer, but the split in society is clearly marked. Hundreds of thousands of soldiers died during the American Civil War of 1861–1865. How many of them will die if the “republican” states decide to secede from the “democratic” ones?
In an interview with CNN, CIA adviser Barbara Walter named two main factors in the approaching disaster. The first is the transition from democracy to “anocracy”, or a regime in which a narrow elite group governs the country under the guise of democratic institutions. The second factor is the “potential of violence” on the basis of racial, cultural and national conflicts that are splitting America.
Retired generals also speak out about the reality of the civil war in the United States. In an interview with The Washington Post, Paul D. Eaton (U.S. Army Major General and Senior Advisor to VoteVets), Antonio M. Taguba (Major General with 34 years in the military), and Stephen M. Anderson (Retired Brigadier General, retired US Army 31) named the likely date for the start of the conflict: 2024, the next presidential election. The “diversity of beliefs and the memory of the past” in the US military, the generals say, could cause “fatal chaos within the armed forces, and this will put America at mortal risk.” All three believe that “we must start preparing for the worst now.”
Finally, there is the traditional split between the two Americas – white and black. The Black Panther marches in 2020, when hundreds of armed, army-equipped black militants marched through the streets of cities promising to take power into their own hands, were reminiscent of the 1960s, when the Black Panthers first appeared. Then it was a struggle for the rights of the black population, now it is a struggle not for rights, but for power. The Panthers are opposed by the white far-right Patriot Front, in whose ranks white men with US flags chant: “Take back America!” Both are bound to collide. Or they get pushed. The imaginary American freedom is perceived by each of the opposing groups as a form of slavery.
Who, in such a situation, will undertake to deny that the likelihood of a civil war in America is high?